Premier League · resolved market
Swansea City AFC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e35dacd123e76a791158e1b57d0ba51c15ee6b7e12aacbf81cbbb7822e3b6ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 1,911$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 1,365$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.41 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 25c | 777.76$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.32 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 20c | 523.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.57 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 19c | 299$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.07 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Over | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 79c | 126.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 40c | 122.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 55c | 106.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 21c | 106.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 45c | 76.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 28c | 61.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 410 | 21.7%89 W · 321 L | -54.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…bb50backed Over | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 19.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 54c | 19.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swansea City AFC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Swansea City AFC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.