Premier League · resolved market
Swansea City AFC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f514250f5fabb14befbd2f894ba2e9cfad1e8225150b4632b07c72f6ca8b595
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 8,095$4,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.37 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,414$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.04 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 41c | 999.69$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.82 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 617$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.24 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 19c | 520.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.05 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 454.82$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.09 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 45c | 231$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 230.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.77 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 7c | 191.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 23c | 176$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.08 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 46c | 103.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 45c | 52.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 26c | 44.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 52c | 25.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 61c | 20.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 66c | 20.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 80c | 19.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swansea City AFC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Swansea City AFC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.