Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e46a0391ea09b402a8a6ee3ec812d773f584de18f59db53ed6f5c2e440f12a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marie Mettrauxof Marie Mettraux, Anja Stankovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Anja Stankovic | 59c | 715.25$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marie Mettraux | 48c | 561.48$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.04 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Anja Stankovic | 24c | 543.6$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.53 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marie Mettraux | 25c | 526.63$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.05 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marie Mettraux | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anja Stankovic | 63c | 495.1$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.3 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Marie Mettraux | 25c | 475.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.31 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anja Stankovic | 58c | 268.33$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.33 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anja Stankovic | 59c | 249.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.31 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…7cd3backed Anja Stankovic | 78c | 165.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf5…20f8backed Marie Mettraux | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Marie Mettraux | 48c | 83.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Anja Stankovic | 78c | 75.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99cb…f629backed Marie Mettraux | 29c | 73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Marie Mettraux | 80c | 50.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Anja Stankovic | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Marie Mettraux | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Marie Mettraux | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Anja Stankovic | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Anja Stankovic | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Anja Stankovic | 65c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…7d2ebacked Anja Stankovic | 69c | 25.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Anja Stankovic | 50c | 25.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Anja Stankovic | 43c | 24.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Anja Stankovic | 64c | 23.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Anja Stankovic | 77c | 22.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Marie Mettraux | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.