NHL · resolved market
Spread: Canucks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea49ee52b10c9b99aaff148c64c6413b89b47d2cd813357456114c109349b6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Canucks, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Blackhawks | 64c | 4,292$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.44 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Canucks | 37c | 2,526$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.62 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…11aabacked Blackhawks | 61c | 2,461$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…82d3backed Blackhawks | 61c | 2,445$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…35aabacked Blackhawks | 61c | 1,992$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…c6fdbacked Canucks | 39c | 1,325$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b4…2256backed Canucks | 39c | 1,320$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Canucks | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…2967backed Canucks | 39c | 1,136$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe6…9f5abacked Canucks | 39c | 1,125$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…0fe7backed Canucks | 39c | 1,003$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…51dbbacked Canucks | 39c | 989$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blackhawks | 63c | 454.62$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.21 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Canucks | 35c | 437.6$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Blackhawks | 61c | 316.54$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.45 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…ed90backed Canucks | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Canucks | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Canucks | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…ba9cbacked Canucks | 39c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Canucks | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Canucks | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c0…071bbacked Canucks | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Canucks | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blackhawks | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Blackhawks | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Blackhawks | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canucks (-1.5)this page
- Blackhawks vs. CanucksBlackhawks won
- Blackhawks vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.