Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Radford Highlanders (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ec4541e1c93b9b35ed604a307f446f5383bbf51fae6d1f977b0545289193451
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Radford Highlandersof Radford Highlanders, USC Upstate Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b9e…0262backed USC Upstate Spartans | 56c | 2,750$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Radford Highlanders | 49c | 2,728$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.91 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Radford Highlanders | 44c | 1,310$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.6 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 52c | 980.82$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Radford Highlanders | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed USC Upstate Spartans | 50c | 750$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.5 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Radford Highlanders | 44c | 514$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.84 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Radford Highlanders | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 51c | 393$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.42 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed USC Upstate Spartans | 57c | 352.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed USC Upstate Spartans | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed USC Upstate Spartans | 54c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Radford Highlanders | 44c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Radford Highlanders | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked USC Upstate Spartans | 54c | 36.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Radford Highlanders | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Radford Highlanders (-1.5)this page
- Radford Highlanders vs. USC Upstate SpartansRadford Highlanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.