Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Radford Highlanders vs. USC Upstate Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7491b5ffc0019b7151dc078c8dafff33cef617eb0043c75914cc4f0be211b207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Radford Highlandersof Radford Highlanders, USC Upstate Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde6d…0926backed USC Upstate Spartans | 25c | 20,911$5,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,251.26 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Radford Highlanders | 79c | 13,310$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.03 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 10c | 3,354$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.56 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Radford Highlanders | 68c | 2,747$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.23 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Radford Highlanders | 72c | 2,736$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.27 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed USC Upstate Spartans | 55c | 1,045$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.75 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Radford Highlanders | 54c | 732.13$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked USC Upstate Spartans | 51c | 580.36$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.09 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Radford Highlanders | 77c | 444$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Radford Highlanders | 78c | 419.55$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Radford Highlanders | 73c | 400$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed USC Upstate Spartans | 50c | 265.32$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Radford Highlanders | 73c | 253.56$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed USC Upstate Spartans | 52c | 236.42$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Radford Highlanders | 67c | 225.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Radford Highlanders | 50c | 216.89$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 55c | 166.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Radford Highlanders | 69c | 130.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed USC Upstate Spartans | 50c | 129$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed USC Upstate Spartans | 27c | 126.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Radford Highlanders | 48c | 109.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Radford Highlanders | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed USC Upstate Spartans | 35c | 99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Radford Highlanders | 75c | 81.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Radford Highlanders | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df0…1d17backed Radford Highlanders | 73c | 68.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed USC Upstate Spartans | 35c | 58.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed USC Upstate Spartans | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 55c | 29.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Radford Highlanders | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed USC Upstate Spartans | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed USC Upstate Spartans | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Radford Highlanders | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Radford Highlanders vs. USC Upstate Spartansthis page
- Spread: Radford Highlanders (-1.5)Radford Highlanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.