Tennis · resolved market
WTA Montreal – Osaka vs. Tauson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f067a95926e59fec8784536e09b9af506af9fad6437a75d4bc043a25204ca40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Osakaof Osaka, Tauson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Tauson | 10c | 9,566$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.56 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Osaka | 77c | 8,723$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.69 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Osaka | 59c | 5,844$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.06 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Osaka | 61c | 4,083$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.76 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Tauson | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tauson | 37c | 2,698$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.41 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Tauson | 40c | 2,379$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.39 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Tauson | 19c | 1,641$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.78 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Tauson | 9c | 1,343$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.85 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Tauson | 38c | 951.62$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.62 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Tauson | 41c | 730.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…dc40backed Tauson | 41c | 721.95$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Tauson | 41c | 648.78$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tauson | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Tauson | 5c | 431.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Tauson | 33c | 343.9$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Tauson | 41c | 258.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tauson | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tauson | 13c | 179$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Osaka | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Tauson | 41c | 156.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tauson | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…060ebacked Tauson | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Tauson | 14c | 110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Tauson | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Tauson | 41c | 97.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Tauson | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Tauson | 41c | 82.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…c992backed Tauson | 42c | 71.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Tauson | 42c | 70.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Tauson | 36c | 69.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Osaka | 55c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Tauson | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…2adcbacked Tauson | 41c | 34.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Osaka | 58c | 26.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.