MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f2362439cfa679b905047fcd6525171226d9ad0e2a0a754c548a20b6359c46a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Mariners | 69c | 39,297$27,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,054.49 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Royals | 48c | 26,392$12,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,668.25 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 58c | 25,103$14,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,541.04 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 17c | 18,708$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.98 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 52c | 12,500$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Royals | 24c | 10,521$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 33c | 7,136$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.41 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 31c | 6,604$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Royals | 21c | 5,381$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.66 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Royals | 46c | 5,115$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.06 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Mariners | 54c | 4,009$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.93 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Royals | 39c | 3,029$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.19 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 7c | 2,857$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Royals | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 47c | 2,417$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.19 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Royals | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.33 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Mariners | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Mariners | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Mariners | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Royals | 1c | 1,667$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Mariners | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners | 52c | 1,304$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.65 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 53c | 1,093$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.94 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.61 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Royals | 48c | 1,056$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 34c | 1,043$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.36 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Mariners | 54c | 1,008$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.58 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Royals | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Royals | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Royals | 49c | 818.78$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Mariners | 52c | 803.46$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Mariners | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…823ebacked Royals | 49c | 797.94$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 22c | 611.19$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.35 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Royals | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Royals | 2c | 550$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Royals | 45c | 530.83$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.87 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 47c | 500.01$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Royals | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Mariners | 54c | 500$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Mariners | 51c | 499.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.98 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Royals | 47c | 443.47$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.43 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 46c | 439.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Royals | 47c | 423.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Royals | 45c | 410.92$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.91 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Mariners | 52c | 359.11$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.67 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 51c | 346.61$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.84 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 74c | 316$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Royals | 28c | 315.81$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Royals | 39c | 289.1$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…a747backed Mariners | 53c | 264.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Royals | 49c | 260$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Mariners | 54c | 230.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mariners | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Royals | 6c | 217.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Royals | 47c | 217$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Royals | 21c | 214.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb71c…2aa2backed Royals | 48c | 210.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Mariners | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Mariners | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Mariners | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Mariners | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…ba79backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…961cbacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd18…1e0bbacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…8443backed Mariners | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…1bfabacked Mariners | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…daa2backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea7…28aabacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…3838backed Mariners | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6679…ceb7backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…27b8backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…bfcfbacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…dbe9backed Mariners | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…489fbacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…9e04backed Mariners | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c0…10b0backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…8cb6backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5274…4ce8backed Mariners | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…dc16backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…9b5dbacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…935dbacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…d19cbacked Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…8fdebacked Mariners | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b46…f029backed Mariners | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…dcbfbacked Mariners | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3035…89a6backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mariners vs. Royalsthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.