Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f2485dda1ca248c23cd720fb489d7c36df998cb0e691a0391e90ad790f334d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 1c | 10,159$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 1c | 8,822$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 1,400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 986.68$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.48 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 815$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.85 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 78c | 804.51$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.52 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 606.47$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.11 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 10c | 551.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 155$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 22c | 133.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 106.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 77c | 80.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…7ad0backed No | 58c | 57.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed No | 80c | 46.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 43.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 25c | 42.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 78c | 41.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 37.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 79c | 31.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…774cbacked No | 55c | 23.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 45c | 22.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 20.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.