Tennis · resolved market
Morelos: Stefan Kozlov vs Alan Magadan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f41dcab546068fd827307e9919c272568f7e2c75d9a3c87f20f2347f7154185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefan Kozlovof Stefan Kozlov, Alan Magadan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,264 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Alan Magadan | 11c | 11,975$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.89 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Alan Magadan | 27c | 2,788$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.27 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stefan Kozlov | 70c | 2,395$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.27 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alan Magadan | 24c | 1,829$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.31 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Stefan Kozlov | 76c | 1,378$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.73 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stefan Kozlov | 69c | 1,038$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.76 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Stefan Kozlov | 76c | 958.68$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.08 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Stefan Kozlov | 71c | 636.99$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.78 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Alan Magadan | 30c | 503.09$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stefan Kozlov | 70c | 499.7$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.71 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Alan Magadan | 32c | 470$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Alan Magadan | 4c | 420$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Alan Magadan | 4c | 405.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Stefan Kozlov | 76c | 390.79$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Alan Magadan | 23c | 385.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alan Magadan | 27c | 292.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alan Magadan | 34c | 289.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Alan Magadan | 45c | 253.84$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Stefan Kozlov | 65c | 240$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alan Magadan | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Alan Magadan | 20c | 138.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Stefan Kozlov | 77c | 129.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 331 | 55.6%184 W · 147 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Alan Magadan | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Alan Magadan | 21c | 111$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Stefan Kozlov | 68c | 103.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Stefan Kozlov | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Alan Magadan | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Alan Magadan | 34c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alan Magadan | 29c | 76.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Alan Magadan | 36c | 75.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Stefan Kozlov | 78c | 71.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 1,107 | 52.8%585 W · 522 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Stefan Kozlov | 77c | 71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Stefan Kozlov | 55c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Stefan Kozlov | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…2bf4backed Stefan Kozlov | 68c | 58.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Stefan Kozlov | 72c | 58.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…9373backed Stefan Kozlov | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 129 | 74.4%96 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stefan Kozlov | 69c | 47.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alan Magadan | 31c | 42.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Stefan Kozlov | 78c | 36.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 476 | 53.2%253 W · 223 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Stefan Kozlov | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x704c…19afbacked Stefan Kozlov | 80c | 33.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Stefan Kozlov | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Stefan Kozlov | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Stefan Kozlov | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Stefan Kozlov | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Stefan Kozlov | 76c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Stefan Kozlov | 77c | 18.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Stefan Kozlov | 70c | 16.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Stefan Kozlov | 78c | 13.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 346 | 48.3%167 W · 179 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Stefan Kozlov | 78c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morelos: Stefan Kozlov vs Alan Magadanthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Kozlov vs MagadanKozlov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.