Tennis · resolved market
Chennai: Maks Kasnikowski vs Federico Agustin Gomez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f46919220f9576cbbb7d17f37ba022b83743e782329e51f4a1f901f6a77f0b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gomezof Kasnikowski, Gomez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kasnikowski | 48c | 6,066$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kasnikowski | 38c | 5,891$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.97 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Gomez | 56c | 5,043$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.78 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Gomez | 56c | 3,698$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.63 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kasnikowski | 42c | 2,321$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.96 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gomez | 62c | 1,873$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.25 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Kasnikowski | 48c | 444$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…7b07backed Kasnikowski | 5c | 313.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Kasnikowski | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Gomez | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kasnikowski | 40c | 185.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Gomez | 57c | 174.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kasnikowski | 40c | 163.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Gomez | 68c | 146.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Gomez | 62c | 129.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Kasnikowski | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kasnikowski | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Gomez | 56c | 99.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7f…85c3backed Kasnikowski | 53c | 93.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Gomez | 44c | 90.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb89…ec39backed Gomez | 59c | 84.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gomez | 61c | 74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Kasnikowski | 24c | 67.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kasnikowski | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…6894backed Kasnikowski | 50c | 52.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Kasnikowski | 46c | 48.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gomez | 69c | 44.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Gomez | 56c | 40.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Kasnikowski | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kasnikowski | 47c | 37.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Gomez | 50c | 34.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Kasnikowski | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Gomez | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Gomez | 55c | 20.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Gomez | 55c | 20.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Gomez | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.