Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Andrea Vavassori
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f49d3329bc35078ca3274b91f8b334f9c905ad3d40219c627657e0c96ec6c16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vavassoriof Tirante, Vavassori
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tirante | 14c | 5,098$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.89 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Tirante | 52c | 4,826$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Vavassori | 71c | 3,365$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.77 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tirante | 1c | 2,117$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Tirante | 44c | 2,106$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.25 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tirante | 5c | 1,368$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Tirante | 57c | 1,346$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.95 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Vavassori | 62c | 1,300$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.58 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Tirante | 3c | 1,150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…db49backed Tirante | 5c | 1,020$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vavassori | 43c | 1,007$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.82 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tirante | 26c | 1,007$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.18 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vavassori | 46c | 767.45$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.92 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Tirante | 58c | 746.73$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tirante | 2c | 599.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Tirante | 18c | 567.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tirante | 11c | 542.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Vavassori | 61c | 521.07$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.63 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Vavassori | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tirante | 4c | 353.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tirante | 14c | 294.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tirante | 24c | 238.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Vavassori | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Tirante | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Tirante | 60c | 107.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Tirante | 27c | 102.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vavassori | 65c | 100.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Tirante | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Vavassori | 41c | 87.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4291…b6bdbacked Vavassori | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Vavassori | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Vavassori | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Vavassori | 40c | 47.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Vavassori | 43c | 46.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Vavassori | 46c | 38.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Vavassori | 44c | 37.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tirante | 57c | 35.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Vavassori | 43c | 33.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Vavassori | 44c | 31.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Vavassori | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.