Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f9d0e8985e588d76b0ac8a79ef9894207e1a1234b9ee49a556bfcc63cead6c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santosof Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos, Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2903…9203backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 60c | 1,562$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 53c | 1,525$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 65c | 580.2$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.98 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 24c | 468.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 58c | 450.78$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.81 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 13c | 444.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 55c | 207.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 59c | 173$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 68c | 118.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 14c | 110.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 43c | 62.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 68c | 60.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 57c | 47.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 68c | 39.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 52c | 32.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…ea72backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 46c | 25.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 47c | 21.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.