Tennis · resolved market
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fc086e137ba5a5b701e7b29b838da318c1d9f72b13ac4eef7c09554d7718aef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elina Avanesyanof Iva Primorac, Elina Avanesyan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3663…8950backed Iva Primorac | 23c | 2,240$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.37 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Elina Avanesyan | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Elina Avanesyan | 77c | 649.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.55 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elina Avanesyan | 78c | 484.11$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Iva Primorac | 22c | 356.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elina Avanesyan | 72c | 311.94$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…e4edbacked Iva Primorac | 5c | 201.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Iva Primorac | 7c | 179.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Elina Avanesyan | 78c | 159.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Iva Primorac | 15c | 114$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elina Avanesyan | 78c | 101$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Iva Primorac | 24c | 79.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Elina Avanesyan | 63c | 68.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Iva Primorac | 59c | 68.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Elina Avanesyan | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Elina Avanesyan | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Iva Primorac | 48c | 62.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Iva Primorac | 22c | 57.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Elina Avanesyan | 77c | 50.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Elina Avanesyan | 78c | 44.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Elina Avanesyan | 74c | 30.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Elina Avanesyan | 76c | 29.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Elina Avanesyan | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Elina Avanesyan | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Iva Primorac | 48c | 23.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Elina Avanesyan | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a19…7165backed Elina Avanesyan | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Elina Avanesyan | 65c | 16.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.