Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Jia Hu vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1001e81ee7498c7b04fef0fff779205ff466897d4cbb2bba0d681e107f422034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mitsuki Wei Kang Leongof Jia Hu, Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jia Hu | 16c | 7,330$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.57 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Jia Hu | 16c | 1,566$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jia Hu | 15c | 1,412$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.62 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Jia Hu | 13c | 1,325$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Jia Hu | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Jia Hu | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Jia Hu | 17c | 592.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Jia Hu | 7c | 563.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Jia Hu | 19c | 554.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 79c | 308$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…9e67backed Jia Hu | 17c | 235.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Jia Hu | 16c | 218$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Jia Hu | 21c | 216.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Jia Hu | 71c | 210.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jia Hu | 9c | 188.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…a82fbacked Jia Hu | 14c | 171$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jia Hu | 17c | 161.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Jia Hu | 20c | 141$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 79c | 136.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 70c | 118.53$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jia Hu | 14c | 100.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Jia Hu | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Jia Hu | 11c | 97.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Jia Hu | 75c | 86.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 31c | 83.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Jia Hu | 75c | 79.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jia Hu | 32c | 74.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 79c | 73.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 43c | 67.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed Jia Hu | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Jia Hu | 19c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Jia Hu | 67c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.