MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1034ff2f0ef64b1dd16ab531123b1e535fa19209c79433b6b76a59ebe76dfd20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed New York Yankees | 58c | 36,634$21,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,300 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 20,614$8,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,698.35 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 10,316$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,735.97 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 40c | 2,441$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,780$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.91 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed San Francisco Giants | 67c | 1,500$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed New York Yankees | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.39 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 922.3$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.9 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 901.71$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.96 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked San Francisco Giants | 65c | 893$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.69 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 600.29$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.16 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked San Francisco Giants | 30c | 536.83$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.67 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed New York Yankees | 54c | 457.83$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.65 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked New York Yankees | 52c | 363$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 288$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 214.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.95 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…cbc3backed New York Yankees | 56c | 158.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 109.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked San Francisco Giants | 13c | 107.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 102$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…4249backed New York Yankees | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…10efbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 70.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2237…d673backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 46cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 54.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed New York Yankees | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…86b8backed New York Yankees | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.