South American Leagues · resolved market
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1041f4f20ef47be4d086ec26cccfb8aa616216c20119800c0a9a50ff814aab50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,068$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.78 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 40c | 1,160$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.96 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 38c | 352.58$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.23 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 60c | 349.05$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 245.26$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.22 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 67c | 240.3$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 40c | 231.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 33c | 160.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 142.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 46c | 108.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 94.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 37c | 58.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 75c | 49.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 44.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…efa6backed Under | 44c | 38.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b5…3607backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 55c | 21.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 55c | 20.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 62c | 20.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5this page
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5Over won
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AA Argentinos Juniors (-1.5)CA Barracas Central won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)AA Argentinos Juniors won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-2.5)AA Argentinos Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.