Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tianjin: Gaeul Jang vs Meiqi Guo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10cb2641f8bee1390f5ff915ad0a88cd34eab4adaf2ad3c897f1d7b779cc5c14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gaeul Jangof Gaeul Jang, Meiqi Guo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Gaeul Jang | 48c | 4,766$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.65 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Meiqi Guo | 51c | 3,833$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.56 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Meiqi Guo | 53c | 2,642$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.21 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Meiqi Guo | 53c | 2,189$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.63 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Meiqi Guo | 22c | 892.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 306 | 25.8%79 W · 227 L | -28.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gaeul Jang | 50c | 500$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.82 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Meiqi Guo | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Meiqi Guo | 53c | 273.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Gaeul Jang | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Meiqi Guo | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Gaeul Jang | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Gaeul Jang | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Meiqi Guo | 48c | 184.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Meiqi Guo | 64c | 181.15$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Gaeul Jang | 44c | 147.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Gaeul Jang | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Gaeul Jang | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…4b02backed Gaeul Jang | 46c | 108.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Gaeul Jang | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Gaeul Jang | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Gaeul Jang | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Gaeul Jang | 48c | 101.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Meiqi Guo | 61c | 79.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Gaeul Jang | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Gaeul Jang | 40c | 53.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Meiqi Guo | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Gaeul Jang | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gaeul Jang | 47c | 30.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…c7a2backed Meiqi Guo | 51c | 27.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Meiqi Guo | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…d7f4backed Gaeul Jang | 54c | 20.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.