Champions League · resolved market
Will Sporting CP beat Bologna?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x113be67acdb4ba58af1d5f93a892d3d5772e796ee647f4bc8bf451b7fe82d666
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 41c | 374.17$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.92 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 77c | 367.19$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 38c | 251.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.12 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 60c | 167.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 39c | 111.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 55c | 110.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…be09backed Yes | 66c | 101.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…269abacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 61c | 48.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f58…9798backed No | 41c | 41.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…eb8dbacked No | 42c | 40.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…a22ebacked Yes | 65c | 38.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…fe68backed Yes | 64c | 37.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…f80ebacked No | 40c | 36.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b8…d241backed No | 35c | 35.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…02bcbacked Yes | 65c | 35.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe087…0734backed No | 40c | 35.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d68…f051backed Yes | 60c | 35.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…2b21backed No | 35c | 35.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…c882backed Yes | 66c | 33.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee9…32f4backed Yes | 60c | 32.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d8…9c05backed No | 40c | 32.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7101…0860backed No | 35c | 31.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…ddd3backed Yes | 65c | 31.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…974fbacked Yes | 64c | 31.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…52dabacked No | 36c | 31.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…ec31backed No | 40c | 31.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…fd5ebacked No | 40c | 30.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf43…30acbacked Yes | 60c | 30.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…a264backed No | 40c | 30.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4d…3578backed Yes | 60c | 30.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcad2…531ebacked No | 39c | 28.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b45…7680backed Yes | 64c | 27.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6934…498dbacked Yes | 65c | 26.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…7afdbacked Yes | 58c | 25.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…e3b5backed Yes | 59c | 25.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c35…6879backed Yes | 64c | 23.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…4fbcbacked Yes | 60c | 22.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e9…da4cbacked Yes | 60c | 20.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36fc…61c6backed Yes | 58c | 20.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab29…1e60backed Yes | 65c | 17.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…9d59backed Yes | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c7…15fcbacked Yes | 66c | 15.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP beat Bologna?this page
- Will Bologna beat Sporting CP?No won
- Will the match between Sporting CP and Bologna end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.