Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MODUS vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x113c6c1fa0e20670fec828c19a472bbc822e8f2eac4a41a627ba3f7cbe4340f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MODUSof MODUS, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Lynx | 68c | 2,353$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.93 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MODUS | 38c | 2,294$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.19 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MODUS | 33c | 2,256$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.81 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Lynx | 67c | 1,595$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.33 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MODUS | 32c | 1,455$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.12 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Lynx | 68c | 822.49$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.43 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…757dbacked Team Lynx | 5c | 750$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MODUS | 60c | 621.73$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.69 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MODUS | 32c | 517.1$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.63 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Lynx | 68c | 457.05$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MODUS | 33c | 278.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.45 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Lynx | 66c | 226.56$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed MODUS | 35c | 157.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed MODUS | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked MODUS | 27c | 138.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MODUS | 32c | 106.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Lynx | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MODUS | 58c | 61.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx | 32c | 52.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx | 34c | 50.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked MODUS | 33c | 47.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Team Lynx | 33c | 46.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MODUS | 33c | 43.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Lynx | 67c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Lynx | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Team Lynx | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MODUS vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MODUS vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group AMODUS won
- Dota 2: MODUS vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerMODUS won
- Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs MODUS (+1.5)MODUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.