La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11427e5b2d400c2dbe04531ae1b43f80c6e3202d707d33b0f80fcd511ce95311
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,307 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 1,247$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.86 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 66c | 745.7$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.79 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 14c | 473.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…a75bbacked Yes | 54c | 184.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…0687backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 105.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 97.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 28c | 81.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 51c | 56.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 50.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 48c | 36.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 50c | 33.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…3185backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 65c | 23.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.