Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Djere (-1.5) vs Houkes (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1149d0b89e278c27319618abedc0b5b0d1459c0fe77c05ef31873872bc91f7b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djereof Djere, Houkes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Houkes | 50c | 1,504$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Djere | 50c | 1,309$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.6 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Djere | 50c | 1,238$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619 | 1,102 | 52.2%575 W · 527 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Djere | 52c | 758$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.84 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Houkes | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Houkes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Houkes | 48c | 260.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Djere | 53c | 229.66$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.94 | 428 | 41.6%178 W · 250 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Houkes | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 860 | 50.1%431 W · 429 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Djere | 51c | 162.92$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 499 | 42.3%211 W · 288 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Djere | 51c | 162$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Houkes | 50c | 156$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Houkes | 48c | 143.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 401 | 35.7%143 W · 258 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Djere | 52c | 142.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 447 | 42.3%189 W · 258 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Houkes | 49c | 115$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Djere | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Houkes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Houkes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Djere | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Houkes | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Houkes | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Houkes | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Houkes | 49c | 63.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Houkes | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Djere | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Houkes | 49c | 33.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Houkes | 48c | 33.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Houkes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Djere | 53c | 28.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Djere (-1.5) vs Houkes (+1.5)this page
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Laslo Djere vs Max HoukesLaslo Djere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.