Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Laslo Djere vs Max Houkes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2934808017704cc5ddc1c56e7377284ed6e960cbf81c4a4c671a3c0a3d9cf5bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laslo Djereof Laslo Djere, Max Houkes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Laslo Djere | 77c | 2,815$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.66 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Max Houkes | 24c | 2,539$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.39 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Max Houkes | 14c | 1,785$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.01 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Laslo Djere | 77c | 1,135$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.32 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Max Houkes | 23c | 854.26$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.48 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Laslo Djere | 80c | 756.84$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.64 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Max Houkes | 12c | 618.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…bacdbacked Max Houkes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Max Houkes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Max Houkes | 23c | 239.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Max Houkes | 25c | 201.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Laslo Djere | 78c | 192.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Laslo Djere | 76c | 149.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Laslo Djere | 78c | 143.22$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Max Houkes | 22c | 137.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Max Houkes | 24c | 132.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Laslo Djere | 76c | 132.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Max Houkes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Max Houkes | 25c | 116.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…5f11backed Laslo Djere | 77c | 100.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Laslo Djere | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Max Houkes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Laslo Djere | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Max Houkes | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Max Houkes | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Max Houkes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Laslo Djere | 77c | 23.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Laslo Djere | 75c | 21.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Laslo Djere vs Max Houkesthis page
- Set Handicap: Djere (-1.5) vs Houkes (+1.5)Djere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.