Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x116899c64e15dd1dbebdbec5c728d58ff61a407b719a2c71c41a56378ac7ee5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 21c | 12,191$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.59 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 8,241$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 4,460$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.55 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 57c | 2,083$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.33 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 43c | 1,009$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.24 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 978.84$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.27 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 54c | 742$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.72 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 22c | 719.3$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 69c | 714.41$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 66c | 529.43$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.13 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 66c | 499.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 70c | 430.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.04 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 67c | 278.84$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.82 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 16c | 195$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 50c | 195$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 35c | 172.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 153.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 143.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 22c | 131.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 57c | 125.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 52c | 120.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 43c | 116$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed No | 55c | 111.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 15c | 111.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…127cbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +225.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 69c | 86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 25c | 81.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 66c | 75.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 67c | 60.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 54.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 39c | 54.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9be4…0156backed Yes | 63c | 49.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 33.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked No | 67c | 21.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-02-01?No won
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.