Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x780a92b392794a7c319a7868181a74172d4f9f40ea8914010773080122742ddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 7,158$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.72 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 3,359$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.2 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.88 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 35c | 2,766$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.7 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 865.42$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.83 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 776.1$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 67c | 705.1$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.08 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 33c | 703.4$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.12 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 2c | 616.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 556.57$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.75 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 24c | 444.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 77c | 435$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 4c | 346.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 34c | 263.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 14c | 195$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 6c | 185.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 23c | 115.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 77c | 115.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 75c | 79.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 19c | 78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 79c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 66c | 19.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?No won
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.