Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11aa3e87d360e5e8e56c81e62d1b9e807fc31197de152f525a037d3827a17ad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $545,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $545,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $545,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 60c | 530,913$319,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211,531.01 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 40c | 198,747$78,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,511.16 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 40c | 163,470$65,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,387.82 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 40c | 100,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 40c | 17,500$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 13,005$5,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,379.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 60c | 7,141$4,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.96 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 40c | 3,668$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.2 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 44c | 2,920$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.5 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…baaebacked Over | 55c | 2,363$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.15 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 1,882$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.45 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 40c | 790$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.7 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 40c | 643.29$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.12 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Under | 42c | 524$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 41c | 175.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 41c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 41c | 115.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 42c | 115$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 41c | 92.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 41c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…180ebacked Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9899…a7f5backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 42c | 47.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…ce53backed Under | 42c | 47.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Under | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…7fe9backed Over | 61c | 24.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6354backed Under | 41c | 24.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 150.5this page
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Santa Clara BroncosSanta Clara Broncos won
- Spread: Santa Clara Broncos (-10.5)Santa Clara Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.