Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Alina Tikhonova vs Seo Yun Choi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11ae0a5538c04c438e307f42716833f92281c97ff2ba246bc0fb9ea926997103
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alina Tikhonovaof Alina Tikhonova, Seo Yun Choi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seo Yun Choi | 28c | 5,006$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.33 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alina Tikhonova | 76c | 4,884$3,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.44 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Alina Tikhonova | 72c | 672.22$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.22 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Seo Yun Choi | 24c | 374$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Alina Tikhonova | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Seo Yun Choi | 26c | 156.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Alina Tikhonova | 61c | 136.11$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Seo Yun Choi | 49c | 102.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seo Yun Choi | 26c | 102.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seo Yun Choi | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Seo Yun Choi | 43c | 87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Seo Yun Choi | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Seo Yun Choi | 73c | 50.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Seo Yun Choi | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Seo Yun Choi | 26c | 43.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Alina Tikhonova | 53c | 27.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Alina Tikhonova | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Alina Tikhonova | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alina Tikhonova | 74c | 21.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alina Tikhonova | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Seo Yun Choi | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Seo Yun Choi | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Alina Tikhonova | 79c | 19.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…ab8fbacked Alina Tikhonova | 68c | 16.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.