Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Santa Clara vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11e0ce2e4a3dba62659af0fec090fcb995031daaece6d6d48f37f5a058692233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Over | 36c | 25,375$9,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,079.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 69c | 9,285$6,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.01 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 7,061$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 5,728$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.36 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 32c | 1,066$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.77 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 64c | 1,027$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 65c | 1,000$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 64c | 999.38$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.05 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 738.91$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.61 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 44c | 637.45$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.48 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Under | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 62c | 456.5$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.47 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 37c | 385.59$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.67 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 64c | 376.39$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +14.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 41c | 334.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 38c | 328$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 75c | 302.04$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 240.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 33c | 224.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 189.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 67c | 188$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 64c | 185.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 33c | 172.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 37c | 166.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 13c | 163.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 64c | 158.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 64c | 124$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 64c | 116$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 64c | 110.77$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 64c | 109$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 64c | 95.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Under | 64c | 74.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Under | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 34c | 68.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 38c | 68.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 31c | 67.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 69c | 65.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 37c | 59.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Under | 67c | 58.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 36c | 54.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 64c | 47.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 64c | 47.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Under | 64c | 46.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 64c | 39.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2412backed Under | 68c | 38.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 64c | 37.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 64c | 32.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 64c | 30.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 64c | 26.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Under | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 64c | 22.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…0f7dbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Santa Clara vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Santa Clara vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Santa Clara vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Santa Clara vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Santa Clara vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Santa Clara vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)FC Famalicão won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-2.5)FC Famalicão won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.