CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs Aimhaus (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #5 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12d22631212aec2894b42ede1a4c1276f213a8a248100e7aa000b336a17f1fe7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Esport BERGof Esport BERG, Aimhaus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Esport BERG | 75c | 6,241$4,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.03 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aimhaus | 29c | 1,750$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.5 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Aimhaus | 25c | 1,455$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.16 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Aimhaus | 19c | 1,194$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.77 | 896 | 30.7%275 W · 621 L | -64.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aimhaus | 4c | 713.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Esport BERG | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aimhaus | 16c | 473.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aimhaus | 3c | 456.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Aimhaus | 23c | 424$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Aimhaus | 18c | 385.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Aimhaus | 27c | 364.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 547 | 43.7%239 W · 308 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Aimhaus | 18c | 283.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Aimhaus | 28c | 248.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 343 | 40.8%140 W · 203 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aimhaus | 15c | 230.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Aimhaus | 7c | 170.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aimhaus | 18c | 158.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Aimhaus | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Aimhaus | 19c | 135$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Aimhaus | 19c | 106.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Aimhaus | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Aimhaus | 30c | 99.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Aimhaus | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Aimhaus | 18c | 85.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Aimhaus | 13c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…07bbbacked Aimhaus | 27c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Aimhaus | 26c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…a9a7backed Aimhaus | 27c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Aimhaus | 33c | 49.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 513 | 52%267 W · 246 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Aimhaus | 25c | 49.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Esport BERG | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…6167backed Esport BERG | 72c | 19.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Esport BERG | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 447 | 63.5%284 W · 163 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs Aimhaus (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #5 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs Aimhaus - Map 1 WinnerEsport BERG won
- Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs Aimhaus - Map 2 WinnerEsport BERG won
- Map Handicap: BERG (-1.5) vs Aimhaus (+1.5)Esport BERG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.