TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BESTIAof BESTIA, MIBR Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed MIBR Academy10c2,144$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.192,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed MIBR Academy26c1,466$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.229842.9%42 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BESTIA76c373$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.522,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e12…1a88backed MIBR Academy12c276.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…db77backed MIBR Academy17c270$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.940%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed BESTIA61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789533.7%32 W · 63 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BESTIA76c196.08$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.064,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed MIBR Academy23c190$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.74129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed MIBR Academy24c173.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5348040%192 W · 288 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed BESTIA69c129$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4112541.6%52 W · 73 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BESTIA74c113$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.383,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA74c108.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.594,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed BESTIA76c97.79$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4750448.8%246 W · 258 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA78c87.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.942,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR Academy14c86.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.84,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed BESTIA78c75.64$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6434547.5%164 W · 181 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed MIBR Academy22c75.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6452150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed BESTIA61c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.141450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked BESTIA75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.752,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.