CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39e85c56aa90de03ee28fc82512e4ca61a1b99b189b1635098ca44336eac3ba2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, MIBR Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MIBR Academy | 17c | 4,447$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.06 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked MIBR Academy | 17c | 4,298$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.66 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…3dd4backed MIBR Academy | 17c | 1,113$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…179ebacked MIBR Academy | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MIBR Academy | 18c | 694.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed MIBR Academy | 18c | 560$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed MIBR Academy | 15c | 554.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed MIBR Academy | 15c | 536$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked MIBR Academy | 19c | 529.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…13dabacked MIBR Academy | 13c | 509.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MIBR Academy | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked MIBR Academy | 19c | 499.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed MIBR Academy | 7c | 471.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed MIBR Academy | 10c | 456$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed MIBR Academy | 15c | 452.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed MIBR Academy | 14c | 444.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MIBR Academy | 10c | 407.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MIBR Academy | 4c | 315.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR Academy | 12c | 293.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MIBR Academy | 14c | 285$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MIBR Academy | 11c | 269.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed MIBR Academy | 10c | 257.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR Academy | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MIBR Academy | 14c | 195.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed MIBR Academy | 17c | 186.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MIBR Academy | 9c | 185$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked MIBR Academy | 9c | 177$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked MIBR Academy | 14c | 157$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…75e0backed MIBR Academy | 13c | 153$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MIBR Academy | 10c | 135.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MIBR Academy | 8c | 135.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed MIBR Academy | 11c | 135$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…6871backed MIBR Academy | 12c | 134.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MIBR Academy | 13c | 123.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed MIBR Academy | 18c | 119.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed MIBR Academy | 17c | 116.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MIBR Academy | 17c | 114.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed MIBR Academy | 17c | 111.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed MIBR Academy | 16c | 104.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked MIBR Academy | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked MIBR Academy | 14c | 81.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)BESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.