CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb0b782c3cbb6b954abab7cde6f7188e5a3f63bfb5f85bd549b3e323e0fac91b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, MIBR Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed BESTIA | 75c | 1,483$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.42 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BESTIA | 76c | 655.28$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed MIBR Academy | 25c | 653.8$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.33 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed BESTIA | 70c | 568.85$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.85 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR Academy | 35c | 486.46$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.62 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MIBR Academy | 22c | 364.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.35 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR Academy | 23c | 335.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA | 69c | 268$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed MIBR Academy | 24c | 263.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 480 | 40%192 W · 288 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed BESTIA | 79c | 252.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MIBR Academy | 13c | 221$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked MIBR Academy | 23c | 191.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked MIBR Academy | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MIBR Academy | 25c | 170.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MIBR Academy | 19c | 164.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed MIBR Academy | 26c | 156$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…db77backed MIBR Academy | 15c | 146.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BESTIA | 73c | 142.93$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MIBR Academy | 11c | 142.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MIBR Academy | 29c | 131.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR Academy | 35c | 129.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked MIBR Academy | 16c | 124.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR Academy | 18c | 123.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed MIBR Academy | 16c | 112$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed BESTIA | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 504 | 48.8%246 W · 258 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed MIBR Academy | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed MIBR Academy | 22c | 98.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…823bbacked MIBR Academy | 21c | 90.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed BESTIA | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…b585backed MIBR Academy | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked BESTIA | 73c | 73.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MIBR Academy | 18c | 70.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed MIBR Academy | 30c | 54.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BESTIA | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MIBR Academy | 25c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked BESTIA | 78c | 47.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BESTIA | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed MIBR Academy | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed BESTIA | 70c | 26.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 402 | 66.2%266 W · 136 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BESTIA | 77c | 23.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)BESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.