CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x144ab1ae160c976e6918ab3101d37f234435ce796f602266da9efd1d68fc9d9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INOX Divisionof HOTU, INOX Division
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed INOX Division | 78c | 2,231$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.96 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked INOX Division | 48c | 920.23$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.66 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 29c | 905.2$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.01 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked HOTU | 20c | 709.77$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.44 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked HOTU | 2c | 695.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked HOTU | 46c | 578.06$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.91 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked HOTU | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed INOX Division | 54c | 418.52$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.52 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HOTU | 11c | 387$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU | 28c | 351.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked INOX Division | 73c | 263$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed HOTU | 55c | 199.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed HOTU | 34c | 188$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 22c | 187$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HOTU | 53c | 183.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed HOTU | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HOTU | 9c | 169$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…4a6bbacked INOX Division | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU | 20c | 124.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed HOTU | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed HOTU | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed INOX Division | 44c | 98.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed HOTU | 59c | 71.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed INOX Division | 53c | 63.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed HOTU | 33c | 59.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HOTU | 47c | 59.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed HOTU | 21c | 54.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…ed75backed INOX Division | 75c | 50.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed INOX Division | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed HOTU | 47c | 49.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfa…ebfcbacked HOTU | 32c | 43.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…f0e8backed HOTU | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…2087backed INOX Division | 77c | 38.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…2079backed HOTU | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked INOX Division | 78c | 29.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed INOX Division | 65c | 27.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0f…6906backed INOX Division | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed INOX Division | 73c | 15.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 PlayoffsHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs INOX Division - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5)INOX Division won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.