CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf24faaea2068cd0aebd10381dbbc3bc9eee7b2b947f59a1da1299c0c0f37136e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, INOX Division
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked HOTU | 71c | 9,363$6,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.1 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed INOX Division | 32c | 9,324$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.07 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed INOX Division | 29c | 4,834$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.11 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked INOX Division | 41c | 3,571$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.69 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HOTU | 57c | 1,272$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.01 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed INOX Division | 43c | 1,130$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 64c | 994.6$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed INOX Division | 43c | 749.53$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.3 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HOTU | 69c | 634.18$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.32 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked INOX Division | 46c | 623.85$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.45 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked INOX Division | 46c | 503.39$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.41 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 57c | 488.07$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.87 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked INOX Division | 47c | 488$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.36 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…8e4cbacked INOX Division | 29c | 364.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked HOTU | 55c | 330.79$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.86 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked HOTU | 43c | 330.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.45 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed HOTU | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked HOTU | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…4a6bbacked HOTU | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HOTU | 54c | 247.89$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.42 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU | 61c | 189.55$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked INOX Division | 41c | 188.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked INOX Division | 42c | 186.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked INOX Division | 43c | 175.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed HOTU | 45c | 171.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed INOX Division | 44c | 142.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HOTU | 49c | 139.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed HOTU | 39c | 134$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…2087backed INOX Division | 34c | 131.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HOTU | 30c | 122.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed HOTU | 75c | 106.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed HOTU | 53c | 103.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed INOX Division | 42c | 102.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +3,274.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed HOTU | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked HOTU | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed HOTU | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed HOTU | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed HOTU | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed HOTU | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed HOTU | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked INOX Division | 71c | 97.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed HOTU | 58c | 96.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed HOTU | 59c | 95.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked INOX Division | 44c | 84.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed INOX Division | 70c | 78.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed INOX Division | 34c | 74.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed HOTU | 53c | 72.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU | 31c | 72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HOTU | 59c | 71.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked INOX Division | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked HOTU | 47c | 63.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed HOTU | 59c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed HOTU | 56c | 58.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed INOX Division | 42c | 51.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed HOTU | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed HOTU | 60c | 46.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed HOTU | 62c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed HOTU | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked HOTU | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…d0e1backed HOTU | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed INOX Division | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…4ec3backed HOTU | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked INOX Division | 55c | 34.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked HOTU | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef3…35b1backed INOX Division | 46c | 29.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…f6b5backed HOTU | 65c | 28.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed INOX Division | 47c | 25.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed HOTU | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 PlayoffsHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs INOX Division - Map 1 WinnerINOX Division won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5)INOX Division won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.