Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x146d53fe015b5124e1a4844a1627ffdc4790e814accd54f19d634106ae4f15c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 30c | 6,463$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,492.72 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 2,521$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.83 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,961$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.33 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 827.96$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.17 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 40c | 499.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 60c | 493.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.96 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 23c | 444$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 41c | 307.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 58c | 300.44$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.26 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 281.33$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.98 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 79c | 216.38$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 202.92$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.72 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 37c | 195$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 56c | 105.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 66c | 94.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 28c | 89.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 72c | 88.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Under | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under | 58c | 69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 67.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 58.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 56c | 56.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 41c | 42.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 66c | 32.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 72c | 32.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 44c | 27.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 59c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 78c | 16.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.