Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2565db2037d375fe1fd46dbab37d2dcfeab33431fc351c648181981594525eba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Torino FCof Cagliari Calcio, Torino FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Cagliari Calcio | 19c | 2,012$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.35 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cagliari Calcio | 20c | 1,360$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.76 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Cagliari Calcio | 46c | 434.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +6.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Cagliari Calcio | 25c | 405.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Torino FC | 54c | 384.37$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.81 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Cagliari Calcio | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…2f27backed Cagliari Calcio | 17c | 106.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cagliari Calcio | 32c | 89.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Torino FC | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Torino FC | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.