Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x120bab00b59a8d90592ae9062b3921e86a88eca6fd06b0c15546e28635214ef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 51c | 3,800$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 40c | 3,193$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.16 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 1,559$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.85 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 1c | 1,441$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 587.2$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.93 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 510$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 465$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.85 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 49c | 364.97$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.14 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 299.29$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 293.45$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked No | 51c | 292$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.44 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 286$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 262.12$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 192.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.66 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 47c | 182.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 51c | 151$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 36c | 148.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 52c | 136.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 131.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 68c | 125.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 50c | 29.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda83…be6abacked No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e4…8282backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 50c | 24.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 50c | 23.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed No | 53c | 22.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.