Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23e6c2f0b8699ce7b71d20f7ed80da66e46f57811880941552d76404e332461d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 1c | 3,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 48c | 388.34$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.94 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Under | 34c | 290$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 72c | 256.18$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 48c | 207.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.74 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 31c | 172.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…a3eebacked Over | 69c | 163.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 36c | 154.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 39c | 111.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 16c | 82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 67c | 74.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Over | 69c | 55.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 68c | 50.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 32c | 38.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 37c | 38.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 36.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 31c | 36.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…4440backed Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…884cbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 28.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 62c | 28.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 52c | 24.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.