Tennis · resolved market
Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Cadence Brace
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14bc53b5a782a235418fb653fa96272a7798da0f066ee9a4d7b7924aa19a5ce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Braceof Hon, Brace
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Brace | 59c | 5,992$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.93 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Brace | 62c | 5,703$3,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.41 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Hon | 31c | 5,220$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.44 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Hon | 57c | 2,639$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Hon | 31c | 2,120$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Hon | 63c | 2,063$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.98 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Brace | 66c | 1,430$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.93 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Hon | 24c | 1,052$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Hon | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.87 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Hon | 48c | 982.8$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brace | 63c | 968.42$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Hon | 33c | 896.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…849cbacked Brace | 37c | 893.35$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Brace | 58c | 818.12$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.66 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Brace | 66c | 765.23$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.03 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Hon | 49c | 725.4$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.55 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Hon | 30c | 703.87$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Brace | 52c | 642.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.41 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Brace | 37c | 600$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Hon | 48c | 598.14$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Brace | 56c | 511.03$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.24 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Hon | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Brace | 37c | 496.08$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.53 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Brace | 58c | 488.66$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.03 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Brace | 35c | 396.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.93 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Brace | 35c | 385.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.89 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Hon | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…96f0backed Hon | 25c | 302.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Hon | 45c | 279$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Brace | 48c | 278.04$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.12 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Brace | 37c | 275$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.3 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hon | 63c | 269.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.07 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Brace | 59c | 227.14$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brace | 58c | 217.73$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Brace | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hon | 64c | 203.11$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Hon | 35c | 200.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…0c27backed Brace | 36c | 186.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Hon | 65c | 186$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Brace | 37c | 149$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Hon | 20c | 146.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Brace | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Brace | 36c | 138.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Hon | 43c | 110.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hon | 64c | 100.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Hon | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hon | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hon | 41c | 82.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Hon | 53c | 81.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Hon | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hon | 43c | 76.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Hon | 39c | 63.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Brace | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Brace | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Brace | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Hon | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Hon | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Hon | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Brace | 66c | 29.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Hon | 68c | 28.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Hon | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9894…65debacked Hon | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Hon | 65c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Hon | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…9442backed Hon | 66c | 15.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.