Tennis · resolved market
Cary: Yuta Shimizu vs Michael Mmoh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14bebeb7fcad9d97d7e857e9b42614fa59051411525891393000f5fada8b0e06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michael Mmohof Yuta Shimizu, Michael Mmoh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Yuta Shimizu | 18c | 9,641$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.92 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Yuta Shimizu | 14c | 7,849$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.99 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Michael Mmoh | 75c | 6,235$4,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yuta Shimizu | 15c | 3,268$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.68 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yuta Shimizu | 35c | 3,244$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.82 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Yuta Shimizu | 15c | 2,471$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.25 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yuta Shimizu | 17c | 1,961$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.65 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yuta Shimizu | 25c | 1,894$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.22 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Michael Mmoh | 65c | 1,349$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.07 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f939backed Yuta Shimizu | 20c | 791$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Michael Mmoh | 64c | 750$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yuta Shimizu | 15c | 683.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Michael Mmoh | 66c | 461.92$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.22 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yuta Shimizu | 23c | 448.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Yuta Shimizu | 18c | 324.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yuta Shimizu | 19c | 273.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yuta Shimizu | 37c | 253.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yuta Shimizu | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yuta Shimizu | 37c | 201.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michael Mmoh | 78c | 200.86$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Yuta Shimizu | 29c | 194.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yuta Shimizu | 15c | 163$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…141bbacked Michael Mmoh | 43c | 148.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Michael Mmoh | 46c | 141.95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yuta Shimizu | 31c | 134.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Michael Mmoh | 79c | 128.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Yuta Shimizu | 28c | 117.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Michael Mmoh | 75c | 111.19$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Yuta Shimizu | 37c | 105.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yuta Shimizu | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Yuta Shimizu | 29c | 89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Yuta Shimizu | 25c | 88.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Michael Mmoh | 46c | 86.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Michael Mmoh | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Michael Mmoh | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Yuta Shimizu | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yuta Shimizu | 48c | 64.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Michael Mmoh | 63c | 62.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Yuta Shimizu | 37c | 59.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Michael Mmoh | 54c | 58.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Michael Mmoh | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Michael Mmoh | 69c | 55.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yuta Shimizu | 40c | 52.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Yuta Shimizu | 32c | 51.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Michael Mmoh | 59c | 49.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Michael Mmoh | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Michael Mmoh | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yuta Shimizu | 29c | 46.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed Yuta Shimizu | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Michael Mmoh | 46c | 44.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yuta Shimizu | 38c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Michael Mmoh | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yuta Shimizu | 30c | 36.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yuta Shimizu | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yuta Shimizu | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Michael Mmoh | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Michael Mmoh | 64c | 30.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yuta Shimizu | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Michael Mmoh | 75c | 29.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Michael Mmoh | 75c | 27.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Michael Mmoh | 75c | 24.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Yuta Shimizu | 48c | 23.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yuta Shimizu | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed Michael Mmoh | 73c | 19.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Michael Mmoh | 62c | 19.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Michael Mmoh | 75c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 298 | 51%152 W · 146 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Michael Mmoh | 73c | 14.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Michael Mmoh | 77c | 13.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cary: Yuta Shimizu vs Michael Mmohthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shimizu vs MmohMmoh won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.