CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #3 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14cc3d80e6a938808f5c472d78e3ee4188f5af5b937ba300809f0e342786cfe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof 3DMAX, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,437 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed 3DMAX | 67c | 3,559$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.04 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed FOKUS | 26c | 2,037$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.28 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed FOKUS | 33c | 2,000$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.48 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked 3DMAX | 69c | 1,329$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.29 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FOKUS | 33c | 1,044$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.61 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FOKUS | 48c | 689.41$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…daf2backed FOKUS | 46c | 616.53$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.68 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FOKUS | 30c | 592.46$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.72 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed FOKUS | 35c | 462.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.74 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked 3DMAX | 44c | 460.66$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.43 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed 3DMAX | 70c | 436.13$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.29 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed 3DMAX | 68c | 344.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.44 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed 3DMAX | 53c | 336.21$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.17 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ff…6431backed 3DMAX | 68c | 284.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 231 | 65.8%152 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked 3DMAX | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd1…cfb5backed 3DMAX | 71c | 209.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdace…06dcbacked 3DMAX | 72c | 193.88$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked FOKUS | 30c | 183.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.64 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed 3DMAX | 53c | 176.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed 3DMAX | 80c | 174.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.9 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed FOKUS | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed 3DMAX | 55c | 147.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…e663backed FOKUS | 29c | 143.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed 3DMAX | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed 3DMAX | 70c | 134.81$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed FOKUS | 48c | 134.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed FOKUS | 29c | 130$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked 3DMAX | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed FOKUS | 29c | 117.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed FOKUS | 43c | 116.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed FOKUS | 29c | 113.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed FOKUS | 34c | 112$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed 3DMAX | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked 3DMAX | 70c | 100.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked FOKUS | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed FOKUS | 34c | 96.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 3DMAX | 67c | 95.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…88c9backed 3DMAX | 68c | 94.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked 3DMAX | 66c | 92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed FOKUS | 29c | 85.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked FOKUS | 47c | 81.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed 3DMAX | 70c | 71.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked 3DMAX | 63c | 65.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS | 48c | 63.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked FOKUS | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed FOKUS | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed FOKUS | 34c | 56.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed 3DMAX | 57c | 55.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…f485backed FOKUS | 47c | 51.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…da11backed 3DMAX | 69c | 47.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed FOKUS | 35c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed 3DMAX | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed FOKUS | 33c | 40.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed 3DMAX | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed FOKUS | 48c | 39.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed 3DMAX | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066b…9a6dbacked 3DMAX | 70c | 36.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…fdefbacked FOKUS | 45c | 33.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked 3DMAX | 68c | 33.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked FOKUS | 40c | 32.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed FOKUS | 35c | 30.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked 3DMAX | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…2025backed 3DMAX | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked 3DMAX | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed 3DMAX | 72c | 24.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6575…715bbacked 3DMAX | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked 3DMAX | 66c | 21.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932d…6490backed 3DMAX | 72c | 15.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked 3DMAX | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.