Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14e9a558697fd354ab4aa320aaa4e81e3ca81b4045ccde484d3b94008489e815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTXof GIANTX, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Team Heretics | 57c | 12,244$6,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,979.36 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Team Heretics | 57c | 9,017$5,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,132.99 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Team Heretics | 59c | 5,500$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,236.86 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked GIANTX | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed GIANTX | 43c | 3,131$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.4 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed GIANTX | 42c | 3,039$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.37 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed GIANTX | 42c | 2,999$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.82 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Team Heretics | 59c | 2,827$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.67 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed GIANTX | 43c | 2,800$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.97 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed GIANTX | 42c | 2,588$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.16 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed GIANTX | 42c | 2,557$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.12 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Team Heretics | 56c | 2,188$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.38 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed GIANTX | 44c | 2,107$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.82 | 122 | 36.9%45 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed GIANTX | 41c | 1,373$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.16 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked GIANTX | 43c | 1,344$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.8 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Team Heretics | 56c | 1,209$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.04 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked GIANTX | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…cc6abacked Team Heretics | 57c | 937.95$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed GIANTX | 43c | 900$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked GIANTX | 45c | 888$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed GIANTX | 45c | 799.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed GIANTX | 42c | 519.58$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.16 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed GIANTX | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed GIANTX | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Team Heretics | 58c | 430$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…3ce5backed GIANTX | 43c | 404.65$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed GIANTX | 55c | 360$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Team Heretics | 45c | 360$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked GIANTX | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.81 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked GIANTX | 41c | 221.95$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Heretics | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed GIANTX | 42c | 133$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…c9bebacked GIANTX | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed GIANTX | 41c | 115.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked GIANTX | 42c | 108.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked GIANTX | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked GIANTX | 42c | 71.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked GIANTX | 46c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…e60abacked GIANTX | 43c | 61.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked GIANTX | 41c | 36.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…7e5dbacked GIANTX | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 204 | 63.2%129 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Team Heretics | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed GIANTX | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked GIANTX | 43c | 25.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Team Heretics | 57c | 24.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsGIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.