Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Toledo Rockets vs. Massachusetts Minutemen (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x161ef23cbaf0500007c84cfd79aed6487957f8a771daa4cbb502fedc3a312ec6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toledo Rocketsof Toledo Rockets, Massachusetts Minutemen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,738 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toledo Rockets | 58c | 2,448$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.23 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 42c | 1,833$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.76 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 43c | 325.78$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 30c | 235.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Toledo Rockets | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Toledo Rockets | 28c | 141.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Toledo Rockets | 56c | 82.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 72c | 79.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 63c | 78.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Toledo Rockets | 69c | 74.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 28c | 54.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 41c | 52.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 41c | 50.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 71c | 46.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 57c | 43.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1628…c90bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…64d6backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Massachusetts Minutemen | 38c | 30.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Massachusetts Minutemen | 71c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.