Lol · resolved market
LoL: P11 Esports vs Axolotl (BO5) - LIT Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16382bb977b8578c3dfa27e508486ff89a4df6b0eeaaaf1f28ed04a3035b1632
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- P11 Esportsof P11 Esports, Axolotl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Axolotl | 36c | 1,704$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.41 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked P11 Esports | 58c | 1,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed P11 Esports | 56c | 1,141$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.28 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked P11 Esports | 34c | 1,022$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Axolotl | 64c | 992.46$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.13 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed P11 Esports | 57c | 800$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Axolotl | 36c | 566.93$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.03 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed P11 Esports | 39c | 499.62$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.93 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…ad1dbacked P11 Esports | 78c | 488.28$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Axolotl | 5c | 460.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Axolotl | 11c | 457$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked P11 Esports | 31c | 433.84$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.35 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Axolotl | 70c | 430$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Axolotl | 60c | 370.62$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.37 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Axolotl | 3c | 358.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Axolotl | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Axolotl | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2c…f983backed P11 Esports | 63c | 263.53$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Axolotl | 6c | 248.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 114 | 0%0 W · 114 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked P11 Esports | 59c | 205.04$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed P11 Esports | 72c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 306 | 61.1%187 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Axolotl | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02e…8fb2backed Axolotl | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Axolotl | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Axolotl | 64c | 198.44$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…4dcebacked Axolotl | 37c | 195.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed P11 Esports | 37c | 176.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.18 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Axolotl | 32c | 170.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Axolotl | 33c | 137.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Axolotl | 62c | 136$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Axolotl | 68c | 125.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Axolotl | 59c | 103.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Axolotl | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…9b3fbacked P11 Esports | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…649fbacked Axolotl | 65c | 96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…b9f2backed P11 Esports | 53c | 90.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed P11 Esports | 31c | 84.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed P11 Esports | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed P11 Esports | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Axolotl | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed P11 Esports | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked P11 Esports | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Axolotl | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Axolotl | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Axolotl | 22c | 47.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked P11 Esports | 36c | 43.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Axolotl | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed Axolotl | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed P11 Esports | 57c | 37.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked P11 Esports | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…2eb5backed P11 Esports | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…fd20backed P11 Esports | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Axolotl | 53c | 31.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed P11 Esports | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Axolotl | 54c | 29.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Axolotl | 53c | 28.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…7066backed P11 Esports | 53c | 26.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Axolotl | 76c | 26.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…87c3backed P11 Esports | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…5b49backed Axolotl | 65c | 19.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: P11 Esports vs Axolotl (BO5) - LIT Playoffsthis page
- LoL: P11 Esports vs Axolotl - Game 1 WinnerAxolotl won
- LoL: P11 Esports vs Axolotl - Game 2 WinnerP11 Esports won
- LoL: P11 Esports vs Axolotl - Game 3 WinnerP11 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.