Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Esteban Talavera Cortes vs Stefan Horia Haita
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x166a6d4db94e3d3e6e639a12ad422ad6d4e3834e0faf8cfac5354a672f3cdfe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefan Horia Haitaof Esteban Talavera Cortes, Stefan Horia Haita
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stefan Horia Haita | 76c | 6,877$5,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.69 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Esteban Talavera Cortes | 23c | 6,380$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.07 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 22c | 1,893$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.57 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 52c | 1,261$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.4 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 77c | 570$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 56c | 435.37$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Stefan Horia Haita | 48c | 412.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.41 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Esteban Talavera Cortes | 23c | 320$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Stefan Horia Haita | 56c | 253.67$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 51c | 238.64$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 49c | 235$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 48c | 170.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Stefan Horia Haita | 76c | 167.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Stefan Horia Haita | 48c | 148.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Esteban Talavera Cortes | 50c | 142.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stefan Horia Haita | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 46c | 137.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 49c | 134$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Esteban Talavera Cortes | 42c | 118.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed Stefan Horia Haita | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Stefan Horia Haita | 40c | 99.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Esteban Talavera Cortes | 23c | 90.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 60c | 84.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Stefan Horia Haita | 58c | 79.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 48c | 63.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 23c | 61.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Stefan Horia Haita | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Esteban Talavera Cortes | 47c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 51c | 40.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Stefan Horia Haita | 46c | 33.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 39c | 31.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Esteban Talavera Cortes | 43c | 30.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd5…d6a3backed Stefan Horia Haita | 53c | 27.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Stefan Horia Haita | 56c | 26.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1e…6e1fbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Esteban Talavera Cortes | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.