Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gandia: Noah Regas Luis vs Eric Vanshelboim
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16a4ac5bdd377f8d16bd9ca5319dd40eec7dff6ae14bb462f71d1dfc10a9bb33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eric Vanshelboimof Noah Regas Luis, Eric Vanshelboim
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Noah Regas Luis | 11c | 6,353$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Noah Regas Luis | 32c | 5,748$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Noah Regas Luis | 26c | 1,158$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.84 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Noah Regas Luis | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Noah Regas Luis | 23c | 765$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.45 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Noah Regas Luis | 20c | 567.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Noah Regas Luis | 20c | 404.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Eric Vanshelboim | 69c | 264.09$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Noah Regas Luis | 20c | 255$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Noah Regas Luis | 20c | 255$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Noah Regas Luis | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Eric Vanshelboim | 79c | 226.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Noah Regas Luis | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Eric Vanshelboim | 69c | 210.95$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Noah Regas Luis | 20c | 210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Noah Regas Luis | 19c | 207.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Noah Regas Luis | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Eric Vanshelboim | 74c | 183.86$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Noah Regas Luis | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Noah Regas Luis | 19c | 141.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Noah Regas Luis | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Noah Regas Luis | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Noah Regas Luis | 20c | 128$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Noah Regas Luis | 21c | 95.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eric Vanshelboim | 72c | 93.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Eric Vanshelboim | 80c | 87.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Eric Vanshelboim | 77c | 64.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Noah Regas Luis | 19c | 62.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Noah Regas Luis | 32c | 43.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Noah Regas Luis | 29c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eric Vanshelboim | 73c | 38.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Eric Vanshelboim | 73c | 35.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Eric Vanshelboim | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Eric Vanshelboim | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.