Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duke Blue Devils vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16dc2fdfd86764ce3948fdbb3a8eb6687bb6c916dc2230efa972df5166ecc96c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Tech Red Raidersof Duke Blue Devils, Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 6,200$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,958.95 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 71c | 2,656$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.51 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 2,625$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 29c | 2,006$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.31 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 23c | 1,250$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.14 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 868.71$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.34 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 19c | 805.43$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 26c | 795.72$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 668$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.4 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 583$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.96 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 34c | 574.69$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.86 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Duke Blue Devils | 44c | 483.29$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.66 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 27c | 483.27$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.2 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 474$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.12 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…7124backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 26c | 384.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 17c | 358.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.99 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Duke Blue Devils | 28c | 357.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 16c | 332.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.9 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…fa14backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 5c | 282.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.49 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 255$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 15c | 208.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.68 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 30c | 136.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 31c | 114.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 94.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Duke Blue Devils | 33c | 92.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Duke Blue Devils | 45c | 74.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Duke Blue Devils | 37c | 67.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 21c | 64.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 72c | 64.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…5606backed Duke Blue Devils | 66c | 61.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Duke Blue Devils | 64c | 49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 22c | 47.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 69c | 34.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 69c | 27.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Duke Blue Devils | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 19.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 49 | 87.8%43 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.