Tennis · resolved market
ITF Troisdorf: Nino Ehrenschneider vs Nikolai Barsukov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16e62a265d7896e7b86d96ce4737b5d5366ad577238c3f8a9b4dc6adee3af5c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nino Ehrenschneiderof Nino Ehrenschneider, Nikolai Barsukov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nikolai Barsukov | 36c | 1,881$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.98 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Nikolai Barsukov | 6c | 602$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nikolai Barsukov | 37c | 351.23$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 62c | 195$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 66c | 134.24$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Nikolai Barsukov | 11c | 101.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 48c | 87.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nikolai Barsukov | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nikolai Barsukov | 36c | 66.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 57c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 44c | 58.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Nikolai Barsukov | 47c | 56.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nikolai Barsukov | 49c | 47.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nikolai Barsukov | 56c | 43.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 67c | 42.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed Nikolai Barsukov | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Nikolai Barsukov | 55c | 21.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Nikolai Barsukov | 52c | 21.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.