Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Detroit Titans vs. Wright State Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x175e47c370e96c4f2a22652574ff85a4af82bd35485217411681f56e507124b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wright State Raidersof Detroit Titans, Wright State Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,886 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Wright State Raiders | 56c | 5,796$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.39 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Detroit Titans | 50c | 2,591$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.92 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wright State Raiders | 67c | 2,569$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.64 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Titans | 59c | 1,915$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.08 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…0b43backed Detroit Titans | 34c | 872.5$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Detroit Titans | 32c | 781.09$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.05 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wright State Raiders | 26c | 728.21$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.72 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Detroit Titans | 30c | 660.43$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.76 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Detroit Titans | 63c | 568.36$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.61 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Wright State Raiders | 45c | 523.97$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.87 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Wright State Raiders | 20c | 521.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.75 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Detroit Titans | 45c | 407.4$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.08 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Detroit Titans | 45c | 399.63$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Titans | 68c | 346.16$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Detroit Titans | 25c | 317.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Detroit Titans | 34c | 291.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Detroit Titans | 72c | 274.29$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Detroit Titans | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Detroit Titans | 33c | 230.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Detroit Titans | 61c | 185.58$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Detroit Titans | 33c | 155$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Detroit Titans | 40c | 148.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Wright State Raiders | 69c | 147.03$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Detroit Titans | 34c | 128.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Wright State Raiders | 78c | 119.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wright State Raiders | 23c | 119.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Detroit Titans | 34c | 99.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Wright State Raiders | 70c | 88.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wright State Raiders | 39c | 70.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Detroit Titans | 53c | 54.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Wright State Raiders | 48c | 50.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Wright State Raiders | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Wright State Raiders | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wright State Raiders | 50c | 48.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Wright State Raiders | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Wright State Raiders | 29c | 41.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…6ccabacked Detroit Titans | 53c | 36.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Detroit Titans | 38c | 35.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Detroit Titans | 37c | 35.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Titans | 63c | 34.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Detroit Titans | 39c | 31.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Wright State Raiders | 74c | 20.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Titans vs. Wright State Raidersthis page
- Detroit Titans vs. Wright State Raiders: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Wright State Raiders (-4.5)Detroit Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.