Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1761b1c9afb79cd173bb3425975d1c64e0489e13fd0036aa8a9e5a6fbf783f0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof GamerLegion, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed GamerLegion | 0c | 3,704$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed GamerLegion | 28c | 770.43$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.74 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed GamerLegion | 26c | 465.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…6d65backed Heroic | 67c | 298.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed GamerLegion | 5c | 251.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked GamerLegion | 59c | 236$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Heroic | 60c | 235.9$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Heroic | 57c | 225$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed GamerLegion | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Heroic | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked GamerLegion | 30c | 154.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Heroic | 61c | 132.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed GamerLegion | 21c | 111.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Heroic | 54c | 110.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Heroic | 78c | 106.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked GamerLegion | 33c | 90.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed GamerLegion | 40c | 68.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeba…3d1dbacked Heroic | 63c | 68.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed GamerLegion | 58c | 56.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked GamerLegion | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…2c60backed Heroic | 67c | 52.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…12cabacked GamerLegion | 45c | 47.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Heroic | 62c | 42.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed GamerLegion | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 68c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5377…173cbacked Heroic | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed GamerLegion | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Heroic | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Heroic | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerHeroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.